Pick Metrics
Everything the algorithm had in front of it when it made each week's picks — one row per club, one column per metric. A blank cell never means "no data": a metric that was missing says so in the cell, with the reason, and is counted in the week's header. An absent value and a metric nobody collects look identical otherwise, and telling them apart is the point.
Kept so the record can be reviewed honestly afterwards — what was known, what was not, and whether the thing that was not known turned out to matter. Weeks are collapsed; click one to open it.
2026 · Week 1
Metrics not fully available this week
- Kalshi — missing for 30 of 32 clubs: no Kalshi market with real trading behind it
- Poly — missing for 30 of 32 clubs: no Polymarket market with real trading behind it
- Model Win — missing for 30 of 32 clubs: no straight-up prediction stored for this game
- Inj Out — missing for 5 of 32 clubs: no injury report filed for week 1
- Quest — missing for 5 of 32 clubs: no injury report filed for week 1
- Coach Win% — missing for 4 of 32 clubs: coach has under a full season on record, so there is no career rate to quote
- Coach Rank — missing for 4 of 32 clubs: not ranked -- coach has under a full season on record
- Off Rank — missing for 2 of 32 clubs: no completed games in 2026 to rank scoring by
- Def Rank — missing for 2 of 32 clubs: no completed games in 2026 to rank points allowed by
| Grades | Form | Grades | Availability | Coaching | Form | Market | Model | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Power | Rank | Off Rank | Def Rank | O-Line | Pass Rush | Secondary | Roster | Inj Out | Quest | Starters Out | Avail | Coach Gms | Coach Win% | Coach Rank | Rest | Last 5 | Spread | Total | Vegas | Kalshi | Poly | Pool % | Model Win | ATS Pick | Cover % | SOS | Playoff % |
| ARI | 47.7 | 32nd | 15th | 8th | 38 | 7 | 29 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 51 | 29.4% | 27th | 252 | 0% · -19.0 | -10 | 47.5 | 21% | missing | missing | 35% | missing | — | 47% | 58.2 | 6% |
| ATL | 62.8 | 6th | 24th | 9th | 64 | 90 | 58 | 64 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 100 | 93 | 39.8% | 23rd | 252 | 80% · -3.0 | -3.5 | 40.5 | 28% | missing | missing | 20% | missing | — | 44% | 55.7 | 79% |
| BAL | 57.4 | 17th | 2nd | 13th | 62 | 21 | 41 | 63 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 100 | 0 | missing | missing | 252 | 40% · +6.0 | +3.5 | 48.5 | 59% | missing | missing | 68% | missing | PICKED | 56% | 57.9 | 53% |
| BUF | 66.3 | 3rd | 5th | 22nd | 90 | 34 | 84 | 64 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 100 | 164 | 64.6% | 5th | 239 | 60% · +5.8 | +1.5 | 44.5 | 50% | missing | missing | 67% | missing | PICKED | 54% | 56.9 | 95% |
| CAR | 52.2 | 28th | 4th | 30th | 30 | 13 | 83 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 100 | 35 | 37.1% | 24th | 246 | 20% · -4.4 | -2.5 | 47.5 | 40% | missing | missing | 20% | missing | — | 44% | 59.5 | 6% |
| CHI | 57.9 | 15th | 1st | 27th | 51 | 23 | 47 | 67 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 100 | 19 | 63.2% | 7th | 238 | 40% · +0.0 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 60% | missing | missing | 80% | missing | PICKED | 56% | 58.9 | 49% |
| CIN | 56.3 | 19th | 7th | 18th | 38 | 39 | 60 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 123 | 46.8% | 20th | 252 | 40% · +3.2 | +3.5 | 50.5 | 64% | missing | missing | 62% | missing | PICKED | 54% | 56.6 | 49% |
| CLE | 52.3 | 27th | 27th | 25th | 8 | 83 | 46 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100 | 0 | missing | missing | 252 | 40% · -4.8 | -8.5 | 40.5 | 21% | missing | missing | 28% | missing | — | 43% | 56.7 | 14% |
| DAL | 56.8 | 18th | 22nd | 20th | 56 | 76 | 20 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 17 | 44.1% | 22nd | 252 | 20% · -9.8 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 60% | missing | missing | 69% | missing | — | 46% | 57.1 | 33% |
| DEN | 67.3 | 1st | missing | missing | 68 | 96 | 60 | 64 | missing | missing | 0 | 100 | 312 | 62.2% | 9th | 232 | 60% · +1.8 | -3 | 43.5 | 45% | 45% | 45% | 61% | 47% | PICKED | 55% | 56.7 | 95% |
| DET | 61.7 | 7th | 9th | 21st | 68 | 81 | 35 | 58 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 89 | 56.7% | 16th | 252 | 40% · -1.6 | +7 | 49.5 | 73% | missing | missing | 80% | missing | PICKED | 52% | 56.0 | 82% |
| GB | 54.4 | 21st | 20th | 28th | 25 | 55 | 48 | 54 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 100 | 126 | 63.1% | 8th | 246 | 0% · -9.6 | -1.5 | 46.5 | 47% | missing | missing | 61% | missing | — | 43% | 58.6 | 13% |
| HOU | 61.6 | 8th | 8th | 26th | 44 | 59 | 81 | 59 | missing | missing | 0 | 100 | 57 | 61.4% | 12th | 238 | 80% · +5.2 | -1.5 | 44.5 | 50% | missing | missing | 33% | missing | — | 46% | 56.5 | 65% |
| IND | 59.0 | 13th | 18th | 29th | 56 | 68 | 64 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 51 | 49.0% | 19th | 252 | 0% · -10.8 | -3.5 | 48.5 | 41% | missing | missing | 32% | missing | — | 44% | 56.6 | 46% |
| JAX | 59.8 | 10th | 6th | 2nd | 38 | 42 | 87 | 58 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 18 | 72.2% | 2nd | 245 | 80% · +15.8 | +8.5 | 40.5 | 79% | missing | missing | 72% | missing | PICKED | 57% | 57.8 | 64% |
| KC | 55.3 | 20th | missing | missing | 58 | 37 | 44 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 100 | 482 | 63.8% | 6th | 253 | 0% · -7.8 | +3 | 43.5 | 55% | 56% | 56% | 39% | 53% | — | 45% | 58.3 | 24% |
| LA | 64.1 | 4th | 30th | 17th | 80 | 38 | 76 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 100 | 165 | 61.8% | 10th | 228 | 60% · +3.2 | +3.5 | 47.5 | 66% | missing | missing | 72% | missing | — | 46% | 57.4 | 68% |
| LAC | 59.8 | 11th | 23rd | 16th | 31 | 62 | 97 | 55 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 108 | 66.2% | 4th | 245 | 40% · -2.6 | +10 | 47.5 | 79% | missing | missing | 65% | missing | PICKED | 53% | 58.4 | 39% |
| LV | 49.9 | 30th | 13th | 7th | 29 | 33 | 45 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 100 | 0 | missing | missing | 252 | 20% · -12.4 | +3.5 | 40.5 | 60% | missing | missing | 71% | missing | — | 40% | 57.9 | 10% |
| MIA | 53.5 | 24th | 26th | 19th | 47 | 32 | 36 | 61 | missing | missing | 0 | 100 | 0 | missing | missing | 252 | 40% · -7.6 | -3.5 | 40.5 | 40% | missing | missing | 29% | missing | PICKED | 60% | 58.2 | 14% |
| MIN | 58.8 | 14th | 3rd | 11th | 21 | 76 | 55 | 58 | missing | missing | 0 | 100 | 70 | 61.4% | 11th | 252 | 100% · +13.6 | +1.5 | 46.5 | 53% | missing | missing | 39% | missing | PICKED | 57% | 57.1 | 59% |
| NE | 57.5 | 16th | 28th | 6th | 50 | 22 | 44 | 65 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 125 | 58.4% | 15th | 213 | 80% · +8.0 | -3.5 | 44.5 | 40% | missing | missing | 31% | missing | — | 48% | 58.0 | 30% |
| NO | 54.4 | 22nd | 10th | 23rd | 44 | 40 | 75 | 53 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 100 | 17 | 35.3% | 25th | 252 | 80% · +7.2 | -7 | 49.5 | 27% | missing | missing | 20% | missing | — | 48% | 56.3 | 23% |
| NYG | 53.8 | 23rd | 11th | 10th | 50 | 50 | 32 | 60 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 317 | 60.9% | 13th | 252 | 40% · +2.4 | -2.5 | 47.5 | 40% | missing | missing | 31% | missing | PICKED | 54% | 57.1 | 30% |
| NYJ | 50.6 | 29th | 17th | 3rd | 52 | 4 | 21 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 100 | 17 | 17.6% | 28th | 252 | 0% · -26.8 | -1.5 | 39.5 | 48% | missing | missing | 37% | missing | — | 38% | 57.5 | 14% |
| PHI | 61.3 | 9th | 16th | 12th | 52 | 63 | 63 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 100 | 95 | 68.4% | 3rd | 245 | 60% · +6.4 | +5 | 43.5 | 68% | missing | missing | 79% | missing | — | 48% | 56.8 | 78% |
| PIT | 63.1 | 5th | 21st | 5th | 69 | 89 | 39 | 63 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 310 | 60.0% | 14th | 244 | 60% · -2.2 | +3.5 | 40.5 | 72% | missing | missing | 80% | missing | PICKED | 56% | 57.1 | 82% |
| SEA | 67.0 | 2nd | 25th | 4th | 52 | 86 | 63 | 65 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 100 | 37 | 73.0% | 1st | 213 | 100% · +16.4 | +3.5 | 44.5 | 60% | missing | missing | 69% | missing | PICKED | 53% | 56.0 | 95% |
| SF | 52.5 | 25th | 12th | 1st | 46 | 4 | 9 | 61 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 163 | 55.8% | 17th | 236 | 60% · -3.2 | -3.5 | 47.5 | 34% | missing | missing | 28% | missing | PICKED | 54% | 57.8 | 23% |
| TB | 59.3 | 12th | 14th | 24th | 87 | 62 | 42 | 57 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 139 | 44.6% | 21st | 253 | 20% · -1.8 | -3.5 | 50.5 | 36% | missing | missing | 38% | missing | — | 46% | 57.8 | 45% |
| TEN | 49.5 | 31st | 29th | 14th | 37 | 66 | 3 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 100 | 68 | 33.8% | 26th | 252 | 40% · -7.2 | +1.5 | 39.5 | 52% | missing | missing | 63% | missing | PICKED | 62% | 57.9 | 4% |
| WAS | 52.4 | 26th | 19th | 15th | 56 | 50 | 14 | 56 | missing | missing | 0 | 100 | 127 | 51.2% | 18th | 252 | 40% · -6.8 | -5 | 43.5 | 32% | missing | missing | 21% | missing | PICKED | 52% | 57.6 | 11% |
Values are recorded when the picks are made, not re-derived when this page is built, so what is shown is what the algorithm actually saw. Ranks run 1 (best) to 32. Probabilities are the chance for that club, so the two sides of a game sum to about 100%.